Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Kamil Majchrzak Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the current stats for the upcoming match between Majchrzak and Carreno-Busta reveals significant insights into who might emerge victorious. In terms of second serve performance over the past six months, Majchrzak has achieved a success rate of 42.75%, closely matched by Carreno-Busta's 42.99%. Given the strong correlation between second serve statistics and the likelihood of winning, this slight edge is essential for predicting outcomes.

When evaluating return game statistics, Carreno-Busta shows a superior ability in winning 46.54% of points on the opponent's second serve, compared to Majchrzak's 45.59%. Similarly, Carreno-Busta also holds a minor advantage on first serve return points, with a success percentage of 25.77% against Majchrzak's 25.02%, indicating a potential edge in this head-to-head matchup.

Both players exhibit nearly identical under-pressure performance, with Majchrzak saving 56.91% of breakpoints in recent form while Carreno-Busta saves 56.67%. This statistic is invaluable for real-time betting predictions during the match. Over the past year, Majchrzak has a slightly higher match win rate at 70.15% (W/L 47/20) than Carreno-Busta's 58% (W/L 29/21), adding another layer to the head-to-head prediction overview.

The preferred playing surface also serves as a crucial criterion, with Majchrzak boasting a career win rate of 67% on clay, whereas his performance drops to 54% on indoor hard courts. Meanwhile, Carreno-Busta also shines on clay with a 66% win rate, but struggles on grass with a 30% success rate.

Regarding tournament levels, Majchrzak and Carreno-Busta primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments, where Carreno-Busta holds a slightly better success rate of 75% (W/L 15/5) compared to Majchrzak's 71.74% (W/L 33/13). This distinction is crucial for understanding their comparative stats' impact on predicting outcomes.

Across three previous head-to-head encounters, Majchrzak has triumphed twice while Carreno-Busta secured victory once. Despite their equal wins in eight total sets, their most recent clash at the Australian Open saw Carreno-Busta claiming a straight-sets victory. Singles deciding set dynamics favor Majchrzak who has won the sole deciding set between them, inferring a possible advantage if the match extends.

Tiebreak performance also tips in favor of Majchrzak, winning the only tiebreak they've contested. Opponent quality indicates Majchrzak has faced players with an average rank of 263.22 over the past year, compared to Carreno-Busta's more challenging average opponent rank of 154.84. This difference enhances the understanding of relative competition faced by each player.

A significant aspect is the deciding set performance against all opponents: Majchrzak boasts a 65% win rate over the past 12 months, standing out against Carreno-Busta's 47% statistic. Factors such as these are pivotal for live predictions and potential betting strategies.

Both players' current form at the ongoing event could further sway the prediction, though not detailed here. Moreover, in recent form, Carreno-Busta exhibits stronger breakpoint conversion at 28.14% against Majchrzak's 24.81%, a statistic that could be decisive in tight game situations.

Overall, while both players exhibit strengths and weaknesses in various aspects, Carreno-Busta appears to have a slight edge in the upcoming match based on recent form, surface performance, and ability to convert key opportunities, making him the favored contender.